Friday, December 29, 2006

Me and the Experts at Stephen's Lighthouse

Experts on What's Ahead
(Bold Italics are my summaries of what the experts are saying. Apologies if I misunderstand
My Insightful Comments are in maroon)

NED SHERMAN
Ned Sherman is chief executive and publisher of Digital Media Wire (digitalmediawire.com)
Prediction: Virtual Worlds (like Second Life)
Boy am I on the fence on this one. At the moment, it's, well, clunky. I agree that the potential is there. Remember pinging one another in the text-based era? Text-based lofts? Things like Second Life are a big step in evolution. It is certainly one to watch.

RAFAT ALI
Rafat Ali is the editor of paidContent.org
Prediction: Mainstream media will pick up on social-networking phenomenons and use them as the basis for programming.
Right now mainstream media is using social-networking to promote its wares. It was only a matter of time before social-networking started to push mainstream media.

Which brings us to an existential-type question: How much of the storyline of the television show Lost is from original storylines made up by original writers and how much of it is a riff from a fan's comment in a social network setting? And how much did that change from the show's inception?

KEVIN WERBACH
Kevin Werbach (werbach@wharton.upenn.edu) is an assistant professor of legal studies and business ethics at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and the organizer of the Supernova technology conference (supernova2007.com).
Prediction: Peer-to-Peer television services - doing for tv what napster did for music

CHRIS ANDERSON
Chris Anderson is the editor in chief of Wired magazine
Prediction: Television is going to be hit hard by peer-to-peer video services and YouTube. Networked gaming will rival television for the time people spend using it.

Werbach and Anderson are neck and neck on this peer-to-peer thing. They could very well be right.

As far as I can tell from my cubical-mate and other young-uns, the networked gaming comment is probably already upon us. Which isn't such a bad deal. Television has been competing for the lucrative 18-24 yo male market for a long time. Let it go, TV! Now let's market to middle-aged middle-class regular Jills and Joes. (OK, my bias is showing.)


HANK BARRY
Hank Barry, a lawyer, was chief executive of Napster
Prediction: We're going way beyond personal computing. Why not carry your media with you everywhere and just plug in?

JOHN BROCKMAN
John Brockman is publisher and editor of Edge (edge.org)
Prediction: User-generated content migrates to a WiFi environment. People will carry their "digital assets" with them.

Barry and Brockman are close on this one. I, even lowly I, think I can see it coming. Ipod and phones that do everything and usb drives have begun to meld. It's morph-city out there in digital land. Six months from now the idea of having the Ipod and phone and usb and everything else as separate devices may look like stone-age technology.

I love the term "digital assets." I can even see these assets as a type of currency. The one with the most gigabytes wins! People with more digital assets will be a better catch than those without. "Hey Baby, wanna see my digital assets?" could be the next really bad pickup line.

These are my opinions: The Gift That Keeps On Giving

Comments on Gartner's Predictions

Gartner's 2007 Predictions

"Blogging and community contributors will peak in the first half of 2007. Given the trend in the average life span of a blogger and the current growth rate of blogs, there are already more than 200 million ex-bloggers. Consequently, the peak number of bloggers will be around 100 million at some point in the first half of 2007."

Good point. This further supports my theory that we're in for another radical direction change. I was going with my gut but now I see some kind of expert concurs. Yikes.

I do think that the number of blogs used as information delivery by corporations and other organizations will increase. Individuals (like me) will decrease.

"Vista will be the last major release of Microsoft Windows. The next generation of operating environments will be more modular and will be updated incrementally. The era of monolithic deployments of software releases is nearing an end. Microsoft will be a visible player in this movement, and the result will be more-flexible updates to Windows and a new focus on quality overall"

And high time, too. It's time for a new way of looking at operating systems.

What I Learned in Blogland This Week

LISTS!
Put away your jousting equipment I'm not talking about the Rennaisance Fair. It's the end of the year so I'm seeing lists of every conceivable thing. Best, Worst, Most, Least, and "I wish..." Some of the more interesting:
From CNN: The top 10 entertainment stories of 2006
Bookgasm: BOOKGASM’s Best (and Worst) of 2006
9 Fake Books I Wish Someone Had Published This Year


PREDICTIONS!
I seriously think some weird stuff is going to happen in the next 6 months. My own prediction? The Web and Social Networking are going to take another sharp turn very fast - and this time it won't be in my parent's living room (How Blogs, Feeds, Wikis and RSS Changed One Bookte... )

Predictions for both libraryland and the rest of the world:
Gartner's 2007 Predictions
Experts on What's Ahead

THE YEAR IN REVIEW!
What a Year! 2006 in Posts, Presentations, Permutations, and ... PARTICIPATION! (Updated)

LIBRARIANSHIP - STILL YOUR BEST CAREER OPTION
US News & World Report

BLOGGING
Lots of good ideas and discussion about policy and procedures
Blogging policies and procedures

DVD
It's surprising how many things have not made it to DVD yet.
Very good things come to those who wait

THOSE MAD-CAP, RABBLE-ROUSERS, JIMMY CARTER AND HARRY POTTER!
Reacting, not reading.
SF Wire reports on Harry Potter Plot-Bets

LIBRARY 2.0
Continued discussion. Are we going too fast? Is Second Life just a flash in the pan?
Slow Library, a 2.0 idea
Visiting the 'Second Life' World: Virtual Hype?

SELF
HA! I told you we all have our own special organizational styles!
In Favor of Mess

And Father Sarducci comes through again - Classic Humor Never Dies!
Father Sarducci's Absolute Worst Holiday Song Ever

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Things That Make Your Workday More Fun

Mouse in your mouse-phobic boss's office

Friday, December 08, 2006

God's Infinite Humor and Blessing

Check this out:

A couple months ago my water heater flooded everything so it had to be replaced. KA-CHING! In the process, the recirc pump was damaged beyond repair (or may have been before. who knows?) It doesn't matter. The HVAC was on its last legs anyway.

The recirc was part of the gas heat I forgot I had. I mis-remembered that everything was electric. I went to turn on the heat a couple weeks ago and, without the recirc, I had no heat. Surprise!

To retrofit the HVAC system to make it work gas/electric again would cost twice as much as going all electric. So, I bought a new system. KA-CHING! KA-CHING!

Fortunately, my contract with the company covered some of it, but it was also coincidentally contract renewal time which I had planned to do anyway. KA-CHING!

i had an eye exam. The corrections I needed 18 months ago were no longer necessary. A previous medication had made my vision whack out a bit. I need new lenses. KA-CHING!

God makes many jokes, ja?

On the other hand, here are the blessings:

My water heater is guaranteed for another 10 years.

I no longer worry every day that my HVAC is going to die on me.

I'm no longer startled awake by the noise at night when the air kicks in

The electronic air cleaner already has improved the air quality in my home.

The electric savings should be significant

My contract with the company worked well for me

Wise credit-use over the years gave me great financing from my credit-card company

I can go without glasses while driving and on any dates I should ever have in future (except those that may require close reading or computer work)

I can feel pretty again without said glasses

Money is only money. A sense of humor is a joy forever

Thursday, December 07, 2006